Filed under: Conservatives, Economics, Government | Tags: Alaska, ANWR, Economics, Lies, Oil, Republicans
Today’s electoral map: Obama: 332.8 EV ; McCain: 205.2 EV
Let’s talk about ANWR, which has become the latest Republican MacGuffin. They say that, if we approved drilling there, we could drive down the price of gas almost instantly.
Well, sorry to say, but once again the Republicans are lying to us. Let me tell you why.
ANWR stands for the Alaskan National Wildlife Refuge. What does that mean? Well, it means there’s nothing up there. There’s no infrastructure–no roads, no bridges, no electricity, no plumbing, no nothing; it’s barren tundra in the middle of nowhere in Alaska. Even if Congress passed a bill today authorizing drilling in ANWR, it would take years–the most conservative estimates say 5 years–before we could even start getting oil out of the ground.
Not only that, but it’ll take even more years for the oil companies in ANWR to reach peak drilling capacity., meaning that we’d have to wait anywhere from 5 to 10 years before the oil companies got any significant amount of oil out of ANWR.
But just how much oil is in ANWR, anyway? Well, according to conservatives like Jonah Goldberg, ANWR’s promise is 10 billion barrels. Sounds like a lot, right? Well, it turns out that the United States uses 20.73 million barrels a day. Do some math–10 billion divided by 20.73 million means that ANWR will give us enough oil to power the United States for 482 days, or 15 months. That’s right–ANWR only has enough oil to power the United States for a year and three months (and that’s assuming our oil consumption doesn’t increase between now and then.)
Not only that, but part of the problem is refining capacity–since 1985, the United States has only increased it’s refining capacity by 1.7 million barrels a day. In a country that uses 20.73 million barrels per day, that isn’t a lot of growth, especially when you consider that our oil consumption has increased exponentially since 1985. Remember, oil pulled up out of the ground is useless until it’s refined, and if we don’t have the capacity to refine more oil, it doesn’t matter how much drilling we approve.
Finally, there’s no guarantee any company drilling in ANWR will sell that oil to the United States. We can’t force them to sell us their oil unless we nationalize the Alaskan drilling operation. Short of such a drastic step, there’s always a chance another customer could come along and buy our ANWR oil right out from under us.
Look, drilling in ANWR is a band-aid solution pushed by politicians hoping to get big fat checks from Big Oil sometime before November. With the time and money we’d waste getting 15 months of oil out of ANWR, we could invest in renewable energy that will free us from our dependence on foreign oil and all oil, period. Tired of paying huge prices at the pump? Then tell the politicians in Washington to invest your tax dollars in renewable energy, because in the time we’d waste getting the first drop of oil out of ANWR, we could, instead, make the pumps themselves a thing of the past.
UPDATED: The NRDC gives us this graph:

DDay at Hullabaloo has this to say:
With the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, you’re talking about dropping the price of a barrel of oil between $0.50 and $2 over a 30-year time horizon when the price has gone up $100 since the beginning of the Bush Presidency. It’s the same for drilling offshore.
And Environmentalist at Daily Kos brings us this:
Between 1999 and 2007, the number of drilling permits issued for development of public lands increased by more than 361%. And did you see your gasoline costs drop? How about your electricity costs? Propane? natural gas? Uh…no. There is absolutely no correlation between the industrialization of public lands and the price of fossil fuels.
[Emphases Added]
UPDATE II: I used Goldberg’s estimation of how much oil was in ANWR because it was a gross overestimation; people who actually know what they’re talking about have found that there’s far less oil in ANWR than 10 billion barrels:
In all three ANWR resource cases, ANWR crude oil production begins in 2018 and grows during most of the projection period before production begins to decline. In the mean oil resource case, ANWR oil production peaks at 780,000 barrels per day in 2027. The low- resource-case production peaks at 510,000 barrels per day in 2028, while the high- resource-case production peaks at 1,450,000 barrels per day in 2028. Cumulative oil production resulting from the opening of ANWR from 2018 through 2030 amounts to 2.6 billion barrels in the mean resource case, 1.9 billion barrels in the low resource case, and 4.3 billion barrels in the high resource case.
I gave conservatives the benefit of the doubt in terms of how much oil is in ANWR for the purpose of my calculations, but keep in mind that the actual amount of oil there isn’t anywhere near their gross overestimations.
The New York Times is reporting that journalist Tim Russert passed away earlier this afternoon. He was 58 years old.
The New York Post reports that Russert suffered a heart attack and collapsed at NBC’s Washington bureau.
More from the Post:
Russert, who rose from the inside world of politics where he was former New York Gov. Mario Cuomo’s press secretary and one-time chief of staff to the late Sen. Daniel Patrick Moynihan, was able to successfully cross over to political journalism and rise to become one of its leading lights.
In his role as host of the seminal Sunday morning political program “Meet the Press” – which he took over in 1991 – he became renowned for his hard-nosed interviews where he frequently cor
[...]
In 2008, Time Magazine named him one of the world’s 100 most influential people.
Goodbye, Tim.
Filed under: 2008 Election, Conservatives, Corruption, IOKIYAR, Scandal, Senate | Tags: 2008, Corruption, John McCain, Lobbyists, Republicans, Scandal, Senate
For a commenter of mine who seems to think the McCain campaign has shed their lobbyist problem:
“We don’t need any lectures from a campaign that waited fifteen months to purge the lobbyists from their staff, and only did so because they said it was a ‘perception problem. It’s too bad their campaign is still rife with lobbyist influence and doesn’t see a similar ‘perception problem’ with the man currently running their own vice presidential selection process, a prominent DC lobbyist whose firm has represented Exxon and a top Enron executive, or their campaign chair and John McCain’s top economic adviser Carly Fiorina, who presided over thousands of layoffs at Hewlett Packard while receiving a $21 million severance package and $650,000 in mortgage assistance,” said Obama campaign spokesman Bill Burton.
Filed under: 2008 Election, Conservatives, Economics, Government, Media, Senate | Tags: 2008, Campaigns, Candidates, George Stephanopoulos, George W. Bush, Incompetence, John McCain, Lindsay Graham, Republicans
In his widely-panned speech on Tuesday, John McCain struggled to refute the charge that, if elected, he will continue the policies of George W. Bush.
Unfortunately–like much of the McCain campaign–it seems like that speech was just so much hot air. When asked today whether McCain would represent an extension or enhancement of Bush’s policies, McCain surrogate Sen. Lindsay Graham (R-SC) responded “Yeah, absolutely.”
From Think Progress:
STEPHANOPOULOS: Let me bring Senator Graham back in on this because you brought up two. You said the tax policy and the health care policy were essentially, Senator Graham, John McCain is calling for an extension or maybe enhancement of the Bush policies.
GRAHAM: Yeah, absolutely.
America doesn’t need four more years of this.
Filed under: 2008 Election, Breaking, Progressives, Senate | Tags: 2008, Campaigns, Candidates, Democrats, Hillary Clinton, Primaries
According to ABC:
Sen. Hillary Clinton said this afternoon on a conference call with supporters that she will appear alongside her supporters on Friday and drop out of the presidential race, Democratic sources tell ABC News’ Kate Snow.
There is a lot of work left to be done, particularly in unifying the Democratic Party; the divisions that this primary has created–and that the Clinton campaign has, at times, exploited–have to be healed before November.
Hillary Clinton’s political future depends on how she drops out and what she does from here. If she follows through with her promise to do everything she can to get a Democrat in the White House, I don’t doubt for a second that the junior Senator from New York will have a long, bright political future ahead of her.
Nonetheless, this is a bittersweet end to a historic Presidential campaign.
Filed under: Breaking, Government, Progressives, Senate | Tags: Democrats, Health, Robert Byrd, Senate, Ted Kennedy
The good news: Ted Kennedy successfully underwent surgery to remove his malignant brain tumor yesterday:
An operation to remove a malignant tumor from Sen. Edward Kennedy’s brain was successful, and the Democrat should suffer no permanent damage from the procedure, his surgeon reported Monday.
The patient himself expressed satisfaction.
“I feel like a million bucks,” Kennedy said after the surgery, according to a family spokesperson. “I think I’ll do that again tomorrow.”
Kennedy’s doctor’s statement focused on the 3½-hour operation, which was performed at Duke University Medical Center in Durham, North Carolina. “I am pleased to report that Sen. Kennedy’s surgery was successful and accomplished our goals,” Dr. Allan Friedman said in a written statement issued after the procedure.
“Sen. Kennedy was awake during the resection, and should therefore experience no permanent neurological effects from the surgery.”
Friedman called the resection “just the first step” in Kennedy’s treatment plan, which is to include radiation and chemotherapy
The bad news: West Virginia’s Robert Byrd was hospitalized last night:
Sen. Robert Byrd was hospitalized Monday night, a spokesman said.
The 90-year-old Democrat from West Virginia appeared lethargic when he arrived at his Senate office Monday afternoon in preparation for a vote on global warming, the spokesman said.
After the vote, he returned home, where his caregiver noticed the same symptoms, took his temperature and discovered he had a fever, the spokesman said.
Upon the recommendation of his doctor, who was reached by telephone, Byrd was taken to a hospital, where he was expected to remain overnight for observation, the spokesman said.
We wish Senator Byrd all the best, and our thoughts and prayers are with him and his family today.






